December 21, 2024

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Bitcoin Rises as Crypto Traders Are Bullish on Government Shutdown

Bitcoin Rises as Crypto Traders Are Bullish on Government Shutdown


Bitcoin

and other cryptocurrencies were rising Friday as traders turned bullish on the prospect of a U.S. government shutdown which supports philosophical tenets of decentralized currencies but risks draining liquidity from wider markets.

The price of Bitcoin has risen 2% over the past 24 hours to above $27,000, with the largest digital asset moving out of the range around $26,000 that has dominated for more than a month.

“Despite large-scale equity weakness across most sectors … Bitcoin currently sits at a nine-day high, reclaiming an important push-and-pull level at $27,000,” said Luke Nolan, an analyst at digital asset investment group

CoinShares
.

Bitcoin has suffered from historically low volatility and trading volumes since the summer, a factor that would be a long-term disadvantage but likely has kept prices afloat amid a recent slide in the stock market. The


Dow Jones Industrial Average

and


S&P 500

are on track to end a brutal September, while Bitcoin is poised to beat history by rising in this month for the first time in seven years.

While the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown—which could happen this weekend—is hanging over equity markets, some crypto traders are seeing a bullish angle for Bitcoin.

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“Some participants view the possible government shutdown as bullish for cryptocurrencies, as it plays directly into the narrative of non-sovereign currencies not being affected by government procedure,” said Nolan. “The possible shutdown is a large-scale reflection of the periodic dysfunction of due process, which fits well into the philosophical narrative of crypto currencies.”

Indeed, a government shutdown could boost Bitcoin—but there are risks. When the U.S. flirted with whether or not to raise the debt ceiling in May, Bitcoin suffered, despite this situation apparently offering a similar opportunity for principle-based gains. That’s because a government shutdown, like the debt ceiling issue, risks draining liquidity from markets as investors broadly rotate into safer bets. Bitcoin could be an unexpected casualty amid a wider risk-off move.

Beyond Bitcoin,


Ether

—the second-largest crypto—gained 3% to $1,670. Smaller tokens or altcoins were also buoyant, with


Cardano

climbing 2% and


Polygon

popping 3%. Memecoins also advanced, with


Dogecoin

up 1% and


Shiba Inu

jumping 2%.

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Write to Jack Denton at jack.denton@barrons.com

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