December 18, 2024

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Could This Bitcoin Surge Be the Result of Market Manipulation?

Is this Bitcoin rally the fruit of manipulation?

A crypto trading expert has sounded the alarm about Bitcoin’s (BTC) latest erratic price behavior, raising concerns it might be the result of deliberate manipulation rather than organic economic indicators.

Bitcoin’s value has seen significant swings in the last couple of weeks, oscillating between $65,000 and $52,000. Such dramatic shifts are causing speculation about the real dynamics at play in the market.

The prominent cryptocurrency strategist RLinda pointed out that Bitcoin is having trouble surmounting crucial resistance points, indicating a possible slump toward $52,000 as it faces increased selling pressure.

Bitcoin’s Bearish Market Configuration

RLinda’s analysis shows Bitcoin moving sideways, and despite a minor 7% bump after retesting the $59,000 mark, this rise was not backed by substantial technical or fundamental justifications.

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Analysis chart of Bitcoin’s price. Credit: RLinda / TradingView

RLinda observed that after failing to penetrate the resistance near $65,000, Bitcoin retreated by 11% back to the $59,000 area.

Bitcoin is striving to stay afloat above $62,000, with many believing that the long-term bullish trend is still in play. For example, a prediction from Titan of Crypto suggests a possible rally reaching $105,000 in the current market cycle.

However, a deceptive breakout above $65,000 has affirmed a bearish market structure, with Bitcoin now trending downwards within the $65,000 to $52,000 trading band—a significant factor for investors to consider.

Moreover, bearish sentiment is reinforced by the patterned decline observed in both daily and weekly charts.

Critical Levels for Bitcoin to Monitor

As Bitcoin attempts to mount a comeback, reaching near $63,400 resistance, RLinda warns of the absence of adequate buying support, indicating an unlikely breakthrough.

The anticipated resistance at higher levels, coupled with diminished buying activity, enhances the chances of a downturn towards stronger support areas.

RLinda points out $63,400 as the immediate resistance to overcome. The next pivotal level sits at $64,130, where if met with struggle, it might induce a sell-off. The ceiling of the sideways movement is at $65,000, surpassing which would be essential for a lasting positive trend.

On the flip side, the support levels to watch are $61,320, which if breached could quicken the bearish trend, and $59,000, marking the current band’s lower boundary. Dipping below this level might trigger a more severe correction.

The Pessimistic View of Bitcoin

Aggravating the bearish outlook is the escalating inflation in the U.S., with unexpected rises in CPI and PPI readings unnerving investors worldwide.

As investors retreat from riskier investments such as cryptocurrencies amidst these inflationary pressures and looming interest rate hikes, Bitcoin faces additional headwinds.

From a technical standpoint, analysts like Ali Martinez envisage a potential fall to $52,000, noting that Bitcoin is trading within a descending channel that often signals further losses. Echoing the caution, Alan Santana warns of a potential nosedive to $49,000.

A Review of Bitcoin’s Pricing

At this moment, Bitcoin is priced at $62,689, representing a 1.5% dip over the last day and a less than 1% fall on a weekly scale, underscoring the persisting uncertainty.

price chart of btc 57
Seven-day pricing chart for Bitcoin. Source: Finbold

Despite reaching resistance at around $63,400, Bitcoin’s price trajectory is precarious without the strength to sustain a breakthrough, resulting in an escalation of the risk of reversal to the more substantial support zones.

Considering the current momentum deficit coupled with unfavorable technical indicators, it is imperative for investors to keep a close watch on significant support thresholds, particularly at $59,000 and $52,000.

The probability of additional downward movements is strong, especially as macroeconomic factors such as inflation continue to suppress risk-inclined investments like Bitcoin.

 

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